[Hoshino, Washimi]
We are investigating the Shindo and lock-loss for the O4a data.
We calculated the Shindo values for every 1 minute and categorized them as "Stand-by (not locked)", "Lock-keep", and "Lock-loss (within 2min before a lock-loss)".
Fig.1 shows the stacked histograms for them. Over Shindo -6.5 events are Earthquakes and smaller are almost ambient noise (mainly leakage from microseismic motion).
By assuming that an Earthquake causes a lock-loss following a binomial distribution, its probability can be expected by a beta distribution function and a finite number of data. Fig.2 is the result.
From this result, the lock-loss probability was 50% at about Shindo -4.6.